Mercyhurst Lakers 73, Wagner Seahawks 67
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Mercyhurst Lakers
Mercyhurst Lakers defeated Wagner Seahawks 73–67 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:10 swung win probability 75% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wagner Seahawks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 17 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 73 |
| Wagner Seahawks | 18 | 29 | 9 | 11 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:10 swung win probability 75% → 0%.
Why Wagner Seahawks lost
- Lost Q4 11-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 4:40 (win probability 91% → 65% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 20-11.
- Outscored 23-10 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wagner Seahawks | 9–0 | Q1 7:24 | 69% → 91% |
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 10–0 | Q1 4:40 | 91% → 65% |
| Wagner Seahawks | 8–0 | Q2 3:38 | 76% → 95% |
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 9–0 | Q4 1:10 | 75% → 0% |