Central Connecticut Blue Devils 63, Saint Francis Red Flash 82
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Saint Francis Red Flash
Saint Francis Red Flash defeated Central Connecticut Blue Devils 82–63 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:36 swung win probability 38% → 85%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Central Connecticut Blue Devils lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Connecticut Blue Devils | 17 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 63 |
| Saint Francis Red Flash | 14 | 15 | 28 | 25 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:36 swung win probability 38% → 85%.
Why Central Connecticut Blue Devils lost
- Lost Q3 16-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 6:30 (win probability 86% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Connecticut Blue Devils | 8–0 | Q1 1:05 | 65% → 33% |
| Saint Francis Red Flash | 10–0 | Q3 7:36 | 38% → 85% |
| Central Connecticut Blue Devils | 8–0 | Q3 4:44 | 85% → 46% |
| Saint Francis Red Flash | 8–0 | Q3 3:09 | 46% → 87% |
| Saint Francis Red Flash | 12–0 | Q4 6:30 | 86% → 100% |