Saint Francis Red Flash 51, Wagner Seahawks 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Wagner Seahawks
Wagner Seahawks defeated Saint Francis Red Flash 58–51 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q4 8:29 swung win probability 50% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Saint Francis Red Flash lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Francis Red Flash | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 51 |
| Wagner Seahawks | 19 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q4 8:29 swung win probability 50% → 100%.
Why Saint Francis Red Flash lost
- Lost Q1 12-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q4 8:29 (win probability 50% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 28.8% eFG vs a 39.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 27-21.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Francis Red Flash | 8–0 | Q3 2:11 | 89% → 50% |
| Wagner Seahawks | 14–0 | Q4 8:29 | 50% → 100% |