Mercyhurst Lakers 79, Saint Francis Red Flash 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Mercyhurst Lakers
Mercyhurst Lakers defeated Saint Francis Red Flash 79–59 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 20-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:23 swung win probability 72% → 36%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Saint Francis Red Flash lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 28 | 13 | 19 | 19 | 79 |
| Saint Francis Red Flash | 12 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:23 swung win probability 72% → 36%.
Why Saint Francis Red Flash lost
- Lost Q1 12-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 6:23 (win probability 72% → 36% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 22-18.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 10–0 | Q1 6:23 | 72% → 36% |
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 9–0 | Q1 0:54 | 34% → 8% |
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 9–0 | Q2 5:04 | 10% → 1% |