Mercyhurst Lakers 64, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 84
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights defeated Mercyhurst Lakers 84–64 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 20-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:02 swung win probability 65% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercyhurst Lakers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 12 | 13 | 15 | 24 | 64 |
| Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 23 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:02 swung win probability 65% → 95%.
Why Mercyhurst Lakers lost
- Lost Q1 12-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 1:02 (win probability 65% → 95% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 12–0 | Q1 1:02 | 65% → 95% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 9–0 | Q3 2:04 | 99% → 100% |