Vermont Catamounts 69, UMBC Retrievers 47
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Vermont Catamounts
Vermont Catamounts defeated UMBC Retrievers 69–47 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 22-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:13 swung win probability 53% → 17%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UMBC Retrievers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermont Catamounts | 11 | 25 | 17 | 16 | 69 |
| UMBC Retrievers | 6 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 47 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:13 swung win probability 53% → 17%.
Why UMBC Retrievers lost
- Lost Q2 10-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 8:13 (win probability 53% → 17% for the home side).
- Shot 32.2% eFG vs a 41.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 11-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vermont Catamounts | 8–0 | Q1 1:23 | 75% → 44% |
| Vermont Catamounts | 9–0 | Q2 8:13 | 53% → 17% |
| Vermont Catamounts | 9–0 | Q2 2:28 | 13% → 1% |
| UMBC Retrievers | 10–0 | Q3 4:06 | 0% → 8% |
| Vermont Catamounts | 8–0 | Q3 2:40 | 8% → 0% |