UMBC Retrievers 43, Maine Black Bears 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Maine Black Bears
Maine Black Bears defeated UMBC Retrievers 58–43 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 15-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:13 swung win probability 54% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UMBC Retrievers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC Retrievers | 15 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 43 |
| Maine Black Bears | 13 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:13 swung win probability 54% → 93%.
Why UMBC Retrievers lost
- Lost Q2 10-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q4 4:48 (win probability 85% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 30.2% eFG vs a 41.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maine Black Bears | 10–0 | Q3 8:13 | 54% → 93% |
| Maine Black Bears | 16–0 | Q4 4:48 | 85% → 100% |