Nicholls Colonels 47, Northwestern State Lady Demons 57
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Northwestern State Lady Demons
Northwestern State Lady Demons defeated Nicholls Colonels 57–47 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:55 swung win probability 98% → 56%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nicholls Colonels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 19 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 47 |
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 19 | 16 | 4 | 18 | 57 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:55 swung win probability 98% → 56%.
Why Nicholls Colonels lost
- Lost Q2 6-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 4:13 (win probability 57% → 96% for the home side).
- Shot 33.3% eFG vs a 42.0% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 14–0 | Q2 4:13 | 57% → 96% |
| Nicholls Colonels | 13–0 | Q4 8:55 | 98% → 56% |