Northwestern State Lady Demons 50, Nicholls Colonels 46
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Northwestern State Lady Demons
Northwestern State Lady Demons defeated Nicholls Colonels 50–46 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:39 swung win probability 36% → 77%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nicholls Colonels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 13 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 50 |
| Nicholls Colonels | 10 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 46 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:39 swung win probability 36% → 77%.
Why Nicholls Colonels lost
- Lost Q3 10-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 5:30 (win probability 64% → 26% for the home side).
- Shot 33.9% eFG vs a 42.0% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 8–0 | Q1 4:06 | 65% → 35% |
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 9–0 | Q2 5:30 | 64% → 26% |
| Nicholls Colonels | 9–0 | Q3 9:39 | 36% → 77% |