Incarnate Word Cardinals 71, Northwestern State Lady Demons 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Incarnate Word Cardinals
Incarnate Word Cardinals defeated Northwestern State Lady Demons 71–65 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 6:33 swung win probability 49% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northwestern State Lady Demons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 15 | 18 | 22 | 16 | 71 |
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 15 | 15 | 22 | 13 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 6:33 swung win probability 49% → 2%.
Why Northwestern State Lady Demons lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 7:15 (win probability 69% → 36% for the home side).
- Shot 35.9% eFG vs a 45.8% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 9–0 | Q1 7:15 | 69% → 36% |
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 9–0 | Q2 5:49 | 52% → 85% |
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 8–0 | Q3 7:29 | 44% → 82% |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 8–0 | Q3 5:23 | 86% → 46% |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 8–0 | Q4 6:33 | 49% → 2% |