Nicholls Colonels 66, Incarnate Word Cardinals 72
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Incarnate Word Cardinals
Incarnate Word Cardinals defeated Nicholls Colonels 72–66 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:48 swung win probability 74% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nicholls Colonels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 14 | 18 | 13 | 21 | 66 |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 16 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:48 swung win probability 74% → 100%.
Why Nicholls Colonels lost
- Lost Q4 21-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 2:48 (win probability 74% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 17-8 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 8–0 | Q1 1:40 | 90% → 69% |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 8–0 | Q4 2:48 | 74% → 100% |