Northwestern State Lady Demons 53, Incarnate Word Cardinals 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Incarnate Word Cardinals
Incarnate Word Cardinals defeated Northwestern State Lady Demons 66–53 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 13-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:22 swung win probability 96% → 59%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northwestern State Lady Demons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 10 | 21 | 10 | 12 | 53 |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 17 | 16 | 19 | 14 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:22 swung win probability 96% → 59%.
Why Northwestern State Lady Demons lost
- Lost Q3 10-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 2:21 (win probability 69% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 40.2% eFG vs a 45.8% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 12–0 | Q3 9:22 | 96% → 59% |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 9–0 | Q3 2:21 | 69% → 98% |