Incarnate Word Cardinals 54, Nicholls Colonels 52
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-16 · Winner: Incarnate Word Cardinals
Incarnate Word Cardinals defeated Nicholls Colonels 54–52 on 2025-12-16 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:11 swung win probability 63% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nicholls Colonels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 11 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 54 |
| Nicholls Colonels | 12 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 52 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:11 swung win probability 63% → 10%.
Why Nicholls Colonels lost
- Lost Q2 11-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 7:31 (win probability 65% → 31% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-0.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 8–0 | Q2 7:31 | 65% → 31% |
| Nicholls Colonels | 13–0 | Q3 4:40 | 8% → 58% |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 8–0 | Q4 8:11 | 63% → 10% |