Southern Miss Lady Eagles 80, Troy Trojans 97
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Troy Trojans
Troy Trojans defeated Southern Miss Lady Eagles 97–80 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:52 swung win probability 62% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Miss Lady Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 15 | 15 | 27 | 23 | 80 |
| Troy Trojans | 22 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 97 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:52 swung win probability 62% → 88%.
Why Southern Miss Lady Eagles lost
- Lost Q2 15-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q2 2:32 (win probability 90% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 37.5% eFG vs a 46.4% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 9–0 | Q1 2:52 | 62% → 88% |
| Troy Trojans | 15–0 | Q2 2:32 | 90% → 100% |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 12–0 | Q3 8:54 | 100% → 97% |
| Troy Trojans | 11–0 | Q3 5:33 | 99% → 100% |