Texas State Bobcats 77, Southern Miss Lady Eagles 86
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Southern Miss Lady Eagles
Southern Miss Lady Eagles defeated Texas State Bobcats 86–77 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:23 swung win probability 43% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas State Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 16 | 15 | 22 | 24 | 77 |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 22 | 18 | 23 | 23 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:23 swung win probability 43% → 86%.
Why Texas State Bobcats lost
- Lost Q1 16-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q1 2:23 (win probability 43% → 86% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-10.
- Outscored 31-13 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 8–0 | Q1 5:53 | 72% → 43% |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 13–0 | Q1 2:23 | 43% → 86% |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 8–0 | Q3 2:26 | 87% → 99% |