Southern Miss Lady Eagles 71, Arkansas State Red Wolves 81
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Southern Miss Lady Eagles 81–71 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 5:14 swung win probability 72% → 35%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Miss Lady Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 20 | 12 | 22 | 17 | 71 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 16 | 20 | 28 | 17 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 5:14 swung win probability 72% → 35%.
Why Southern Miss Lady Eagles lost
- Lost Q2 12-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 7:24 (win probability 59% → 93% for the home side).
- Shot 37.5% eFG vs a 46.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 26-16.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 10–0 | Q1 5:14 | 72% → 35% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 9–0 | Q3 7:24 | 59% → 93% |