Troy Trojans 69, South Alabama Jaguars 76
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-27 · Winner: South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars defeated Troy Trojans 76–69 on 2026-02-27 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q3 4:02 swung win probability 88% → 33%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Troy Trojans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 18 | 17 | 22 | 12 | 69 |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 25 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q3 4:02 swung win probability 88% → 33%.
Why Troy Trojans lost
- Lost Q1 18-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 7:05 (win probability 70% → 100% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 8–0 | Q1 2:40 | 50% → 79% |
| Troy Trojans | 11–0 | Q3 4:02 | 88% → 33% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 9–0 | Q3 2:31 | 33% → 84% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 11–0 | Q4 7:05 | 70% → 100% |