Southern Miss Lady Eagles 43, South Alabama Jaguars 57
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-25 · Winner: South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars defeated Southern Miss Lady Eagles 57–43 on 2026-02-25 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:33 swung win probability 72% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Miss Lady Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 10 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 43 |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 12 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 57 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:33 swung win probability 72% → 99%.
Why Southern Miss Lady Eagles lost
- Lost Q2 7-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q2 1:33 (win probability 72% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 23.6% eFG vs a 46.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 13–0 | Q2 1:33 | 72% → 99% |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 9–0 | Q4 5:12 | 100% → 100% |