South Alabama Jaguars 73, Troy Trojans 84
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-18 · Winner: Troy Trojans
Troy Trojans defeated South Alabama Jaguars 84–73 on 2026-02-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:44 swung win probability 76% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Alabama Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 10 | 21 | 18 | 24 | 73 |
| Troy Trojans | 25 | 26 | 18 | 15 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:44 swung win probability 76% → 96%.
Why South Alabama Jaguars lost
- Lost Q1 10-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 0:44 (win probability 76% → 96% for the home side).
- Shot 41.2% eFG vs a 46.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 10–0 | Q1 0:44 | 76% → 96% |
| Troy Trojans | 10–0 | Q3 6:18 | 100% → 100% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 8–0 | Q4 9:06 | 100% → 100% |