South Alabama Jaguars 65, Southern Miss Lady Eagles 84
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-18 · Winner: Southern Miss Lady Eagles
Southern Miss Lady Eagles defeated South Alabama Jaguars 84–65 on 2025-12-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:52 swung win probability 45% → 80%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Alabama Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 18 | 14 | 19 | 14 | 65 |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 18 | 18 | 26 | 22 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:52 swung win probability 45% → 80%.
Why South Alabama Jaguars lost
- Lost Q4 14-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 4:36 (win probability 88% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-15.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 9–0 | Q1 6:01 | 72% → 39% |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 8–0 | Q2 4:53 | 26% → 60% |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 8–0 | Q2 1:52 | 45% → 80% |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 10–0 | Q3 4:36 | 88% → 100% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 12–0 | Q3 1:26 | 100% → 85% |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 10–0 | Q4 4:31 | 93% → 100% |