Southern Miss Lady Eagles 86, Old Dominion Monarchs 83
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-30 · Winner: Southern Miss Lady Eagles
Southern Miss Lady Eagles defeated Old Dominion Monarchs 86–83 on 2026-01-30 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at OT 2:35 swung win probability 74% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Old Dominion Monarchs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 18 | 19 | 18 | 22 | 9 | 86 |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 19 | 18 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at OT 2:35 swung win probability 74% → 0%.
Why Old Dominion Monarchs lost
- Lost Q4 13-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at OT 2:35 (win probability 74% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-11.
- Outscored 30-18 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 8–0 | Q2 5:42 | 72% → 40% |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 12–0 | Q3 8:37 | 29% → 80% |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 8–0 | Q4 0:31 | 98% → 65% |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 10–0 | OT 2:35 | 74% → 0% |