Troy Trojans 81, Old Dominion Monarchs 59
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: Troy Trojans
Troy Trojans defeated Old Dominion Monarchs 81–59 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 22-point result. A 17-0 road team run ending at Q3 5:49 swung win probability 27% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Old Dominion Monarchs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 19 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 81 |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 14 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 road team run ending at Q3 5:49 swung win probability 27% → 0%.
Why Old Dominion Monarchs lost
- Lost Q2 15-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q3 5:49 (win probability 27% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 36.6% eFG vs a 43.9% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 29-10 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 17–0 | Q3 5:49 | 27% → 0% |