Marshall Thundering Herd 69, South Alabama Jaguars 60
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering Herd defeated South Alabama Jaguars 69–60 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 9:20 swung win probability 57% → 5%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Alabama Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 12 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 69 |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 18 | 9 | 20 | 13 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 9:20 swung win probability 57% → 5%.
Why South Alabama Jaguars lost
- Lost Q2 9-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 6:41 (win probability 82% → 47% for the home side).
- Shot 42.2% eFG vs a 46.7% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 14-6 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 8–0 | Q1 4:08 | 91% → 72% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 9–0 | Q2 6:41 | 82% → 47% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 9–0 | Q4 9:20 | 57% → 5% |