Marshall Thundering Herd 53, App State Mountaineers 48
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering Herd defeated App State Mountaineers 53–48 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 7:36 swung win probability 68% → 27%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why App State Mountaineers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 7 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 53 |
| App State Mountaineers | 16 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 48 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 7:36 swung win probability 68% → 27%.
Why App State Mountaineers lost
- Lost Q3 10-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 1:16 (win probability 93% → 54% for the home side).
- Shot 37.5% eFG vs a 47.9% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 12–0 | Q2 1:16 | 93% → 54% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 8–0 | Q3 7:36 | 68% → 27% |