Texas State Bobcats 74, UL Monroe Warhawks 83
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-25 · Winner: UL Monroe Warhawks
UL Monroe Warhawks defeated Texas State Bobcats 83–74 on 2026-02-25 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:53 swung win probability 2% → 57%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas State Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 19 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 15 | 18 | 23 | 27 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:53 swung win probability 2% → 57%.
Why Texas State Bobcats lost
- Lost Q4 18-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q3 0:53 (win probability 2% → 57% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 18-14.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 8–0 | Q1 3:54 | 65% → 34% |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 9–0 | Q2 5:26 | 52% → 85% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 10–0 | Q3 9:02 | 80% → 33% |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 14–0 | Q3 0:53 | 2% → 57% |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 8–0 | Q4 7:17 | 77% → 99% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 8–0 | Q4 1:46 | 100% → 97% |