Texas State Bobcats 55, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 43
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Texas State Bobcats
Texas State Bobcats defeated Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 55–43 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 0:51 swung win probability 34% → 1%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 12 | 13 | 18 | 12 | 55 |
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 13 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 0:51 swung win probability 34% → 1%.
Why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost
- Lost Q2 6-13 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 0:51 (win probability 34% → 1% for the home side).
- Shot 30.8% eFG vs a 38.4% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 16-3 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 10–0 | Q3 0:51 | 34% → 1% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 10–0 | Q4 1:17 | 8% → 0% |