UL Monroe Warhawks 61, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 51
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: UL Monroe Warhawks
UL Monroe Warhawks defeated Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 61–51 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 14-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:12 swung win probability 87% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 11 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 61 |
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 18 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 51 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:12 swung win probability 87% → 0%.
Why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost
- Lost Q4 9-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q4 1:12 (win probability 87% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 34.2% eFG vs a 38.4% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-11.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 9–0 | Q2 5:22 | 84% → 98% |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 10–0 | Q3 9:50 | 98% → 84% |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 14–0 | Q4 1:12 | 87% → 0% |