South Alabama Jaguars 81, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 56
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars defeated Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 81–56 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 25-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:32 swung win probability 66% → 21%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 28 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 81 |
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 12 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 56 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:32 swung win probability 66% → 21%.
Why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost
- Lost Q1 12-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 3:32 (win probability 66% → 21% for the home side).
- Shot 31.0% eFG vs a 38.4% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 12–0 | Q1 3:32 | 66% → 21% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 10–0 | Q1 0:05 | 37% → 8% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 8–0 | Q2 4:47 | 5% → 0% |
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 11–0 | Q4 8:19 | 0% → 0% |