James Madison Dukes 87, Old Dominion Monarchs 53
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: James Madison Dukes
James Madison Dukes defeated Old Dominion Monarchs 87–53 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 34-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:42 swung win probability 45% → 7%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Old Dominion Monarchs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 24 | 16 | 26 | 21 | 87 |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 15 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 53 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:42 swung win probability 45% → 7%.
Why Old Dominion Monarchs lost
- Lost Q4 9-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 9:42 (win probability 45% → 7% for the home side).
- Shot 38.7% eFG vs a 43.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-12.
- Outscored 15-5 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 8–0 | Q1 5:43 | 75% → 47% |
| James Madison Dukes | 10–0 | Q3 9:42 | 45% → 7% |
| James Madison Dukes | 10–0 | Q4 7:22 | 0% → 0% |