South Alabama Jaguars 52, James Madison Dukes 88
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: James Madison Dukes
James Madison Dukes defeated South Alabama Jaguars 88–52 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 36-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:07 swung win probability 69% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Alabama Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 8 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 52 |
| James Madison Dukes | 23 | 26 | 27 | 12 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:07 swung win probability 69% → 95%.
Why South Alabama Jaguars lost
- Lost Q1 8-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 19-0 run ending at Q3 6:47 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 37.1% eFG vs a 46.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 12–0 | Q1 6:07 | 69% → 95% |
| James Madison Dukes | 19–0 | Q3 6:47 | 100% → 100% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 10–0 | Q4 0:09 | 100% → 100% |