Marshall Thundering Herd 43, James Madison Dukes 80
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: James Madison Dukes
James Madison Dukes defeated Marshall Thundering Herd 80–43 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 37-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:40 swung win probability 72% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Marshall Thundering Herd lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 2 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 43 |
| James Madison Dukes | 27 | 12 | 21 | 20 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:40 swung win probability 72% → 94%.
Why Marshall Thundering Herd lost
- Lost Q1 2-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q2 9:06 (win probability 91% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 34.9% eFG vs a 50.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 16-6.
- Outscored 14-6 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 10–0 | Q1 5:40 | 72% → 94% |
| James Madison Dukes | 16–0 | Q2 9:06 | 91% → 100% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 9–0 | Q2 0:19 | 100% → 100% |
| James Madison Dukes | 13–0 | Q3 1:06 | 100% → 100% |
| James Madison Dukes | 11–0 | Q4 3:40 | 100% → 100% |