Texas State Bobcats 52, James Madison Dukes 87
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: James Madison Dukes
James Madison Dukes defeated Texas State Bobcats 87–52 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 35-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:18 swung win probability 87% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas State Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 9 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 52 |
| James Madison Dukes | 19 | 24 | 12 | 32 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:18 swung win probability 87% → 98%.
Why Texas State Bobcats lost
- Lost Q2 11-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 6:18 (win probability 87% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 37.0% eFG vs a 43.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 22-17.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 8–0 | Q2 6:18 | 87% → 98% |
| James Madison Dukes | 8–0 | Q2 3:18 | 96% → 100% |
| James Madison Dukes | 8–0 | Q2 0:54 | 99% → 100% |