James Madison Dukes 74, Marshall Thundering Herd 83
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering Herd defeated James Madison Dukes 83–74 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 2:46 swung win probability 33% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why James Madison Dukes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 21 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 74 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 14 | 24 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 2:46 swung win probability 33% → 99%.
Why James Madison Dukes lost
- Lost Q5 7-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at OT 2:46 (win probability 33% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 43.8% eFG vs a 49.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 10–0 | Q2 9:50 | 66% → 28% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 8–0 | OT 2:46 | 33% → 99% |