Marshall Thundering Herd 82, Georgia State Panthers 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering Herd defeated Georgia State Panthers 82–75 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:32 swung win probability 36% → 82%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Georgia State Panthers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 20 | 22 | 17 | 23 | 82 |
| Georgia State Panthers | 23 | 20 | 17 | 15 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:32 swung win probability 36% → 82%.
Why Georgia State Panthers lost
- Lost Q4 15-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 2:09 (win probability 82% → 37% for the home side).
- Outscored 20-9 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-13.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers | 8–0 | Q1 4:35 | 54% → 81% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 9–0 | Q3 5:32 | 36% → 82% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 8–0 | Q3 2:09 | 82% → 37% |