Texas State Bobcats 68, Georgia State Panthers 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Texas State Bobcats
Texas State Bobcats defeated Georgia State Panthers 68–59 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 2:31 swung win probability 82% → 1%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Georgia State Panthers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 16 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 68 |
| Georgia State Panthers | 16 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 2:31 swung win probability 82% → 1%.
Why Georgia State Panthers lost
- Lost Q4 7-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 6:19 (win probability 98% → 64% for the home side).
- Shot 35.2% eFG vs a 43.5% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers | 9–0 | Q2 4:10 | 51% → 86% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 8–0 | Q2 1:09 | 73% → 95% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 8–0 | Q3 4:13 | 99% → 92% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 9–0 | Q4 6:19 | 98% → 64% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 9–0 | Q4 2:31 | 82% → 1% |