Georgia State Panthers 78, South Alabama Jaguars 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: Georgia State Panthers
Georgia State Panthers defeated South Alabama Jaguars 78–75 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:18 swung win probability 99% → 76%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Alabama Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers | 7 | 18 | 20 | 25 | 8 | 78 |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 25 | 8 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:18 swung win probability 99% → 76%.
Why South Alabama Jaguars lost
- Lost Q2 8-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 2:43 (win probability 99% → 87% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 24-13.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers | 12–0 | Q2 2:43 | 99% → 87% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 10–0 | Q4 4:18 | 99% → 76% |