James Madison Dukes 70, Georgia State Panthers 72
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Georgia State Panthers
Georgia State Panthers defeated James Madison Dukes 72–70 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 7:34 swung win probability 70% → 35%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why James Madison Dukes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 18 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 70 |
| Georgia State Panthers | 11 | 12 | 21 | 19 | 9 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 7:34 swung win probability 70% → 35%.
Why James Madison Dukes lost
- Lost Q4 12-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Shot 45.0% eFG vs a 49.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 10–0 | Q1 7:34 | 70% → 35% |