Texas State Bobcats 53, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 85
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-28 · Winner: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers defeated Texas State Bobcats 85–53 on 2026-01-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 32-point result. A 17-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:54 swung win probability 62% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas State Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 6 | 12 | 19 | 16 | 53 |
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 21 | 8 | 33 | 23 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:54 swung win probability 62% → 98%.
Why Texas State Bobcats lost
- Lost Q1 6-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q1 0:54 (win probability 62% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 27.5% eFG vs a 43.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 25-19.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 17–0 | Q1 0:54 | 62% → 98% |
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 12–0 | Q3 7:25 | 94% → 100% |
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 8–0 | Q4 8:29 | 100% → 100% |