Georgia State Panthers 68, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 63
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Georgia State Panthers
Georgia State Panthers defeated Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 68–63 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:37 swung win probability 21% → 69%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Coastal Carolina Chanticleers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers | 9 | 18 | 16 | 25 | 68 |
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 17 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:37 swung win probability 21% → 69%.
Why Coastal Carolina Chanticleers lost
- Lost Q2 11-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 7:23 (win probability 87% → 56% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 26-21.
- Outscored 23-7 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 8–0 | Q1 5:00 | 55% → 81% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 9–0 | Q2 7:23 | 87% → 56% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 9–0 | Q3 7:27 | 73% → 27% |
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 9–0 | Q3 2:37 | 21% → 69% |