Troy Trojans 61, Arkansas State Red Wolves 54
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-24 · Winner: Troy Trojans
Troy Trojans defeated Arkansas State Red Wolves 61–54 on 2026-02-24 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 5:36 swung win probability 69% → 25%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 20 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 61 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 12 | 14 | 17 | 11 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 5:36 swung win probability 69% → 25%.
Why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost
- Lost Q1 12-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 5:36 (win probability 69% → 25% for the home side).
- Shot 31.9% eFG vs a 46.3% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-7.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 12–0 | Q1 5:36 | 69% → 25% |