Arkansas State Red Wolves 75, Texas State Bobcats 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-18 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Texas State Bobcats 75–61 on 2026-02-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 2:22 swung win probability 5% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas State Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 26 | 28 | 10 | 11 | 75 |
| Texas State Bobcats | 13 | 20 | 12 | 16 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 2:22 swung win probability 5% → 0%.
Why Texas State Bobcats lost
- Lost Q1 13-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 2:22 (win probability 5% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 37-23.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State Bobcats | 8–0 | Q3 5:48 | 1% → 5% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | Q3 2:22 | 5% → 0% |