Arkansas State Red Wolves 54, Marshall Thundering Herd 62
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering Herd defeated Arkansas State Red Wolves 62–54 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:58 swung win probability 88% → 65%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 10 | 20 | 11 | 13 | 54 |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 16 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:58 swung win probability 88% → 65%.
Why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost
- Lost Q1 10-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Shot 30.4% eFG vs a 46.3% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 17-9 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | Q1 3:58 | 88% → 65% |