Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 70, Arkansas State Red Wolves 78
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 78–70 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:40 swung win probability 54% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Coastal Carolina Chanticleers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 14 | 21 | 21 | 14 | 70 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 19 | 21 | 17 | 21 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:40 swung win probability 54% → 100%.
Why Coastal Carolina Chanticleers lost
- Lost Q4 14-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q1 6:01 (win probability 36% → 65% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 32-20.
- Outscored 24-14 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | Q1 6:01 | 36% → 65% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | Q1 2:16 | 54% → 81% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | Q4 0:40 | 54% → 100% |