Arkansas State Red Wolves 69, Georgia State Panthers 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Georgia State Panthers 69–61 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:47 swung win probability 45% → 7%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Georgia State Panthers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 15 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 69 |
| Georgia State Panthers | 23 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:47 swung win probability 45% → 7%.
Why Georgia State Panthers lost
- Lost Q2 7-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 9:47 (win probability 45% → 7% for the home side).
- Shot 35.8% eFG vs a 43.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 10–0 | Q3 9:47 | 45% → 7% |