James Madison Dukes 67, Arkansas State Red Wolves 74
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-25 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated James Madison Dukes 74–67 on 2026-01-25 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:33 swung win probability 42% → 7%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why James Madison Dukes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 23 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 67 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 9 | 16 | 16 | 33 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:33 swung win probability 42% → 7%.
Why James Madison Dukes lost
- Lost Q4 21-33 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Lost the turnover battle 25-18.
- Outscored 14-5 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 12–0 | Q1 0:33 | 42% → 7% |