Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 34, Arkansas State Red Wolves 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 75–34 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 41-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:57 swung win probability 88% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 10 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 34 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 28 | 12 | 13 | 22 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:57 swung win probability 88% → 98%.
Why Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns lost
- Lost Q1 10-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q4 4:08 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 26.7% eFG vs a 38.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 39-22.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 25-16.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | Q1 0:57 | 88% → 98% |
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 8–0 | Q2 1:18 | 100% → 96% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 14–0 | Q4 4:08 | 100% → 100% |