Arkansas State Red Wolves 107, South Alabama Jaguars 67
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated South Alabama Jaguars 107–67 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 40-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:38 swung win probability 25% → 4%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Alabama Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 29 | 40 | 22 | 16 | 107 |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 18 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:38 swung win probability 25% → 4%.
Why South Alabama Jaguars lost
- Lost Q2 17-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 4:31 (win probability 7% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 28-12.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 9–0 | Q2 8:38 | 25% → 4% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 14–0 | Q2 4:31 | 7% → 0% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 10–0 | Q2 1:48 | 0% → 0% |