Arkansas State Red Wolves 91, Southern Miss Lady Eagles 83
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Southern Miss Lady Eagles 91–83 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:18 swung win probability 87% → 54%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Miss Lady Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 19 | 19 | 32 | 21 | 91 |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 24 | 21 | 23 | 15 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:18 swung win probability 87% → 54%.
Why Southern Miss Lady Eagles lost
- Lost Q3 23-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 9:18 (win probability 87% → 54% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 29-14.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 10–0 | Q2 6:16 | 69% → 95% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | Q3 9:18 | 87% → 54% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 8–0 | Q4 1:06 | 20% → 0% |