UL Monroe Warhawks 58, Arkansas State Red Wolves 79
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated UL Monroe Warhawks 79–58 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 21-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:10 swung win probability 89% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UL Monroe Warhawks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 14 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 58 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 15 | 27 | 21 | 16 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:10 swung win probability 89% → 100%.
Why UL Monroe Warhawks lost
- Lost Q2 16-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 8:10 (win probability 89% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 27-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 11–0 | Q3 8:10 | 89% → 100% |