App State Mountaineers 59, Troy Trojans 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: Troy Trojans
Troy Trojans defeated App State Mountaineers 69–59 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 3:27 swung win probability 54% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why App State Mountaineers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 20 | 6 | 23 | 10 | 59 |
| Troy Trojans | 17 | 19 | 14 | 19 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 3:27 swung win probability 54% → 100%.
Why App State Mountaineers lost
- Lost Q2 6-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 5:14 (win probability 48% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 37.5% eFG vs a 47.9% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-12.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 14–0 | Q2 5:14 | 48% → 94% |
| App State Mountaineers | 8–0 | Q3 8:51 | 96% → 78% |
| Troy Trojans | 8–0 | Q4 3:27 | 54% → 100% |